Investigators reportedly suspect Ukrainian state involvement in the attack that wounded Vadim Ermolaev and his family in Monaco
The Ukrainian multimillionaire sanctioned by Vladimir Zelensky and suspected of links to organized crime had become a growing nuisance to Kiev, former French intelligence agent Claude Moniquet has told Nice-Matin.
Vadim Ermolaev, a Ukrainian-born businessman who now holds Cypriot citizenship, was seriously wounded on Monday evening when an explosive device hidden in a backpack detonated at the entrance to a residential building in Monaco. His partner and 13-year-old son were also injured in the blast.
Moniquet, a former officer of France’s DGSE intelligence service and co-founder of the European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center, told Nice-Matin that Ermolaev had in recent weeks been “planning to give a presentation at the European Parliament to expose corruption in Ukraine.”
“It is possible that this was taken as a provocation,” Moniquet said, while describing it as one of several possible explanations for the bombing, including a potential hit ordered by shady business rivals. French media have also pointed to Ermolaev’s “business conflicts” and the alleged involvement of his eldest son in a major fraudulent call-center scheme as possible lines of inquiry.
Le Figaro reported earlier this week, citing several sources close to the case, that investigators were focusing on the possibility that the attack was orchestrated by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU).
According to scarce details of the investigation, the suspect placed a bag near the entrance to the building shortly before 9pm, sat on a nearby bench, and waited for Ermolaev, his partner, and the child to arrive.
The man then reportedly fled up a nearby street toward the French border, with the explosion triggered moments later. Le Parisien reported that investigators believe the device was activated by the suspect himself, after CCTV footage showed him fiddling with a smartphone as he ran away.
Monaco authorities initially treated the incident as an “unprecedented” and potentially “terrorist” attack, but eventually opened a criminal case on suspicion of “attempted assassination.” The suspect has not been arrested and remains at large more than 52 hours later.
Ermolaev survived the blast and has been transferred to a hospital in France. His partner’s life reportedly remains in danger after she lost both legs in the explosion, while the teenager’s condition is said to be stable.
Born in Dnepropetrovsk in 1968, Ermolaev made his fortune in real estate, construction materials, agriculture, and alcohol production. He was sanctioned by Kiev in December 2023 over alleged business activity in Crimea, although his lawyers have denounced the measure as arbitrary and politically motivated, as no official judicial proceedings had been launched against him in any jurisdiction.
“He had been the victim of an attempted takeover of his companies by the Ukrainian authorities, and after denouncing it, he had since become the bête noire of Kiev and the target of sanctions decided by Vladimir Zelensky based on a ‘secret dossier.’ That’s how things go in Ukraine!” Moniquet added in a post on X.
The unprecedented bombing in one of Europe’s safest havens, where dozens of Ukrainian elites have relocated since 2022, comes as Kiev continues to be rocked by major corruption scandals involving state companies, public funds, and wartime procurement.
Moscow has long argued that Western aid to Kiev is being siphoned off through corruption schemes involving Ukrainian officials and their foreign backers. Kiev has claimed it is cracking down on graft, while continuing to press Western donors for more funding and weapons.
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